[Desi Masala] sensex

· As at January 8 2009, the BSE Sensex had closed at 9071 (it is at
a lower level - 8984 on January 21, 2009 - 1221 hrs), a far cry from 20873
on January 8, 2008.

· Now, even if it took 5 years (Jan 2014) for Sensex to reach its
previous high, the return would be 18.14% (CAGR) .
· If it took 7 years (Jan 2016) , it would be 12.64% .
· And even if the Sensex reached that figure in Jan 2019 (10
years) , the returns would be 8.69% .
· The surprise is that even for a 15 year time frame (January 2024)
the Sensex generates a CAGR of 5.71% .
Not bad at all when you consider that the 10 year Government Security yields
5.65% (as on January 21, 2009 - 1221 hrs) and that the long term capital
gains tax on equities is NIL :)
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